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We're halfway through the First Round of March Madness, which is a perfect time to look at the updated odds to win the NCAA Tournament and to make the Final Four.
In addition to the posted 2024 March Madness futures via FanDuel Sportsbook below, we have also shared the projected odds to win the tournament and make the Final Four courtesy of our director of predictive analytics, Sean Koerner.
And if you're looking to make any futures bets ahead of Friday's second round, consider comparing Koerner's projected odds to the actual odds. If the available odds are longer (or "bigger") than Koerner's projections, then that team is undervalued relative to our predictions.
Updated Odds to Win 2024 NCAA Tournament
| Team | Odds to Win Tournament | Koerner's Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|
| UConn | +380 | +505 |
| Houston | +600 | +413 |
| Purdue | +700 | +912 |
| Arizona | +1000 | +1634 |
| Auburn | +1400 | +1781 |
| Iowa State | +1500 | +2244 |
| Tennessee | +1700 | +970 |
| UNC | +2000 | +2271 |
| Marquette | +2000 | +2557 |
| Creighton | +2300 | +4175 |
| Duke | +2500 | +1989 |
| Baylor | +3000 | +4303 |
| Illinois | +3200 | +2699 |
| Alabama | +3500 | +3914 |
| Gonzaga | +3900 | +5854 |
| Michigan State | +5000 | +14888 |
| Kansas | +5000 | +26970 |
| Florida | +5500 | +47901 |
| Saint Mary's | +6000 | +20604 |
| Wisconsin | +6500 | +19590 |
| San Diego State | +8000 | +31283 |
| Texas | +8500 | +22610 |
| Colorado | +10000 | +35477 |
| New Mexico | +10000 | +54697 |
| NC State | +11000 | +96493 |
| Oregon | +12000 | +117227 |
| TCU | +12000 | +87748 |
| Nebraska | +12000 | +94447 |
| Clemson | +15000 | +54697 |
| Washington State | +15000 | +78161 |
| Texas A&M | +15000 | +184353 |
| Florida Atlantic | +15000 | +74874 |
| Dayton | +15000 | +68439 |
| Utah State | +20000 | +349859 |
| Northwestern | +25000 | +417238 |
| James Madison | +25000 | +696075 |
| Duquesne | +26000 | +3301242 |
| Oakland | +49000 | +10153949 |
| GCU | +50000 | +383941 |
| Yale | +50000 | +12264539 |
| UAB | +100000 | +38754833 |
| Charleston | +100000 | +8025255 |
| Longwood | +100000 | +2642392465 |
| Stetson | +100000 | +169132711681 |
| Colgate | +100000 | +686900624 |
| Vermont | +100000 | +22625834 |
| Western Kentucky | +100000 | +436481292 |
| Grambling State | +100000 | +74221359397899 |
Four teams jump off the page as having value when comparing our expert projections to available lines: Houston (+600 compared to our projection of +413), Tennessee (+1700 compared to our projection of +970), Duke (+2500 compared to our projection of +1989) and Illinois (+3200 compared to our projection of +2699).
Check out the new user FanDuel promo code offer before placing your bets on the 2024 NCAA Tournament.
Updated Odds to Make 2024 Final Four
| Team | Odds to Make Final Four | Koerner's Projected Odds |
|---|---|---|
| UConn | +115 | +150 |
| Houston | +135 | +115 |
| Purdue | +165 | +204 |
| Arizona | +210 | +265 |
| Tennessee | +340 | +230 |
| Iowa State | +360 | +458 |
| UNC | +370 | +362 |
| Marquette | +390 | +416 |
| Creighton | +420 | +619 |
| Auburn | +450 | +449 |
| Duke | +600 | +445 |
| Baylor | +600 | +570 |
| Illinois | +650 | +474 |
| Alabama | +700 | +565 |
| Michigan State | +850 | +1335 |
| Gonzaga | +950 | +827 |
| Florida | +1000 | +3616 |
| Saint Mary's | +1000 | +1883 |
| Colorado | +1200 | +2958 |
| Kansas | +1200 | +2329 |
| Wisconsin | +1200 | +2399 |
| Texas | +1600 | +2259 |
| New Mexico | +1700 | +3745 |
| NC State | +1900 | +3220 |
| Oregon | +2000 | +6382 |
| Dayton | +2100 | +3336 |
| San Diego State | +2300 | +3420 |
| Nebraska | +2400 | +7220 |
| Clemson | +2500 | +3745 |
| TCU | +2500 | +6324 |
| Florida Atlantic | +2800 | +10714 |
| Washington State | +3200 | +5156 |
| Texas A&M | +3200 | +11391 |
| Utah State | +4800 | +16343 |
| GCU | +5000 | +13299 |
| Northwestern | +5500 | +22276 |
| James Madison | +6500 | +27011 |
| Duquesne | +8500 | +47900 |
| Yale | +15000 | +205889 |
| UAB | +15000 | +418252 |
| Charleston | +15000 | +93391 |
| Vermont | +16000 | +256625 |
| Oakland | +21000 | +51975 |
| Western Kentucky | +24000 | +1119497 |
| Longwood | +25000 | +5653861 |
| Stetson | +25000 | +106386042 |
| Colgate | +25000 | +1541607 |
| Grambling | +25000 | +5001747613 |
As for 2024 Final Four odds, eight teams are showing value when comparing our expert projections to the available lines at FanDuel: Houston (+135 compared to our projection of +115), Tennessee (+340 compared to our projection of +230), UNC (+370 compared to our projection of +362), Duke (+600 compared to our projection of +445), Baylor (+600 compared to our projection of +570), Illinois (+650 compared to our projection of +474), Alabama (+700 compared to our projection of +565) and Gonzaga (+950 compared to our projection of +827).
Are you in North Carolina? North Carolina sports betting came online on March 11, so you can bet legally at major sportsbooks today. Learn more.
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