If yesterday was better than the day before then that is progress, right? I know that is a low bar, but I will take it the way things have been going lately. We scratched out an easy win with my man OG and it would have been a couple if Houston had more players they could rely on. Alperen Sengun tied Wemby with his final bucket of the game, even though they were already up nine points with less than two minutes left. Those are the thin margins we are dealing with and unlike the Dodgers, we cannot just kick the can down the road.
There are five games in the NBA to choose from tonight.
Results to Date: 41-646, -46.7 Units
Anthony Davis Under 13.5 Rebounds (+105)
Davis was a monster in that In-Season Tournament title game. Kudos, but something tells me this is going to be a letdown spot for the big guy. He is having his best rebounding season of his career but even with that, he is still not even at 13 rpg. He averages fewer boards on the road and had 13 in a previous game against the Mavs. I don't normally do unders but this one makes sense.
Damontas Sabonis has More Assists than James Harden (+130)
I know we have not been killing it lately but you gotta stick to your principles or else what do you have? Sabonis is averaging more assist per game this season than Harden. That is no fluke, he is Jokic light and will be a critical part of the Kings' offense tonight. Harden is no sure thing with the Clippers and I am happy to lean into the player who is more secure in his role. This one should have been priced even to me.
Daniel Theis 5+ Rebounds (+140) alt line
The Clippers brought in Theis to throw his weight around. They are going to need that against the rough and tumble Sabonis for sure. Also, if you look at Theis's splits this season he has been much more effective on the road than at home. In those road games he is averaging three more minutes per game and his rebounding average is 5.8 rpg. That is a nice alt payoff for that level production.
Moses Moody 5+ Rebounds (+350) alt line
The Warriors are leaning more on their next-gen players, for better or worse. I like Moody in this spot as he can be valuable when taking on a Phoenix team that is strong on the wings. He is averaging under 4 rpg for the season but has 4, 4, and 5 over his last three games. He also had a strong game the last time Golden State was in Phoenix, and is averaging 9 points and 6 rebounds per game against the Suns this season. Worth a shot at this price and we need some wins to pick things back up.
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