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Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott (4) and running back Tony Pollard (20). Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

'TNF' Week 13 best bets: We're stoked for the Pokes

By Griffin Carroll | Last updated 11/30/23

How to attack this Thursday night game between Seattle and Dallas is of course the question of the hour. It certainly seems like the Cowboys could once again cruise here at home, there are some vulnerabilities on both ends of the Seahawks defense.

It's there we'll turn our focus as we look to build out a winning Same Game Parlay for "TNF."

Let's cash this TNF SGP, ASAP

Legs 1 and 2: Tony Pollard TD & 60+ yards

We'll lump together these two looks on Dallas running back Tony Pollard because they certainly go hand-in-hand. Seattle's biggest weakness might be slowing down the run.

Coming into this matchup, the Seahawks are allowing the 13th-most yards per carry, and the 12th-most rushing yards per game. Seattle is also handing out the third-most touchdowns per game to running backs.

Christian McCaffrey went for 114 yards last week, and Royce Freeman piled up a respectable 73 yards the week prior.

Pollard has started steadily producing over the past two weeks, finishing with 61 and 79 yards, scoring in both games. He should have his chances to keep that rolling here.

Leg 3: Brandin Cooks 40+ yards

Seattle sure isn't very tough against wide receivers either. The Seahawks are allowing the 11th-most passing yards per game and the ninth-most 20+ yard passes per game.

It's been Brandin Cooks coming on strong for this Dallas passing attack of late. He's caught a 22+ yard pass in three straight, fueling yardage totals of 173, 42 and 72.

That explosive element figures to come in handy here, and is a logical addition to give us a better price on this SGP.

Combined, these three legs come in at +331 on FanDuel. Enjoy the start of Week 13, let's start our NFL week right.

In the news ...

Bailey Zappe set to start for Patriots in Week 13 — It doesn't come as much of a surprise considering New England keeps benching Mac Jones mid-game, but it seems they'll save themselves the trouble in Week 13 and just bench him before the game even starts. Bailey Zappe is expected to be New England's starting quarterback this week and likely for the rest of the season. New England is currently 2-9 and its best results for the rest of the year are objectively to keep losing and try and secure one of the top two draft picks. Perhaps worth noting ahead of the 2024 draft is that 2022 Heisman winner Caleb Williams and the presumptive top pick in this upcoming draft is "on the fence" about entering the NFL next year. North Carolina QB Drake Maye is currently +400 to go first overall next season, just saying.

Oregon-Washington game tomorrow likely to determine Heisman winner — The Heisman race at this point seems to be a two-horse race between two QBs: Oregon's Bo Nix (-130) and LSU's Jayden Daniels (+160). Washington's Michael Penix Jr. (+1600) also is likely to be a finalist, and Friday night's Pac-12 Championship seems likely to be the nail in the coffin for this year's Heisman race. If you believe in Oregon, who is a 9.5-point favorite against Washington (!), take it tomorrow. Now is your last chance to grab Nix at nearly even money. If you think Washington takes it and Oregon lays an egg, it seems Jayden Daniels and his 50 TDs will be the likely beneficiary. This should be fun.

Luis Severino signs with New York Mets — The New York Mets have signed RHP Luis Severino to a one-year, $13M contract after the pitcher spent the last eight years with the cross-town rival Yankees. Severino, 29, had a rough 2023 and will look for a bounce-back year on a Mets rotation that really needs the help. The Mets are +1100 to make the World Series next year, the fifth-best odds in the NL.

Today's Bark Bets is written by Griffin Carroll, the guy who won $8K on a $20 NFL parlay. Follow him on Substack: griffybets.substack.com.

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