Keep in mind the injury news revolving around this Monday night matchup between the Philadelphia Eagles and Seattle Seahawks. Jalen Hurts was downgraded to questionable with an illness on Sunday, while Geno Smith appears to have re-aggravated his groin injury and is a game-time decision.
There's a very real chance that it's Marcus Mariota vs. Drew Lock, and it's important to acknowledge that and consider some patience here before placing some bets.
Ignoring the quarterbacks for a moment, this is an incredibly inviting game for props. Both secondaries have been unmitigated disasters this year. Both rank among the most generous defenses for 20+ yard passes allowed, passing yards per game, receptions allowed to wide receivers and touchdowns allowed to wide receivers.
As such, our direction forward is quite simple, no matter who is throwing the passes.
Metcalf has five touchdowns over his last four games, and leads Seattle in targets and red zone targets this season. We could likely cap the analysis there against this extremely horrible Philadelphia secondary.
Metcalf has had the Eagles' number in three meetings, twice going for 160+ receiving yards, scoring once. No team in the NFL has allowed more touchdowns to wide receivers than Philly, averaging 1.77 allowed per game.
We'll stick with the more physical receiver on the other end who also went to Ole Miss. Expect these two to be very popular names for this game. That doesn't make it a bad choice. Like Metcalf, Brown leads his team in targets and red zone looks, and despite 26 targets over the past two games, he has no touchdown to show for it.
That should change here against the Seahawks, who allow the fifth-most touchdowns per game to wideouts.
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